Future projections of salt intrusion
In this subproject, we will determine projections of future salt intrusions over the next decades due to climate change and human interventions. A necessary aspect of these projections is the atmospheric and oceanic forcing, e.g. precipitation and sea level, which are being provided by large-scale climate models. The major objectives of subproject 5.2 are therefore:
- Provide scenarios of future local forcing conditions (e.g., sea level, temperature) and their uncertainty based on downscaling of the climate change projections (CMIP5/CMIP6 simulations).
- Make projections (plus estimates of uncertainties) of future salt intrusion in specific regions over decadal time scales.
- Study the effects of human interventions made during a certain period on the long-term salt intrusion to investigate whether these measures are ‘climate proof’.
Last modified: 27/09/2021
Increasing risks of extreme salt intrusion events across European estuaries in a warming climate
31/01/2024 by Jiyong Lee et al.View details
Bevat: climate-change impacts environmental impact hydrology physical oceanography